Gold, Forex

If you look at gold compared to other major nations currencies like Yuan, Rupee, Pound, Ruble, Real, Etc. you can see that some of them have been more strong then others and gold retraced a large amount of time and price . It has long been my opinion that gold will appreciate vs. most if not all national currencies. In terms of some national currencies gold is currently trading at serious discount. For monitoring the price of gold and other precious metals / hard currencies Vs. most national currencies I use FX CHARTS & PLOTS (v2.12)

And they tell you it is not a currency….

Today gold was clearly trading like a currency and no wonder that silver lagged. (The monetary component within silver certainly exist but for lesser extant compared to gold) Before the New York open gold was higher both in terms of Euro and USD then moved higher in USD and Lower in Euro, later the opposite: up in Euro down in USD, a sell off in both majors then a strong impulsive rally into the close.(Compare minutes XAUUSD with XAUEUR charts to notice that)


Added:

XAUUSD and XAUEUR 2 minutes chart






















The day to day action is trend less, the downside momentum is gone but some trend line resistance exists.

Gold continue to present a relatively rare opportunity in the global financial market place. An Item which is liquid, time lasting and provides insurance against systematical issues. In addition the possibility for significant price appreciation certainly exists. This is my opinion.


XAUUSD weekly log chart with Fibonacci price projections

Few clarifications

Dear readers,


I got some nasty massages and emails lately, namely personal attacks. I just want to remind that I'm not a registered investment advisor, broker or dealer. All content on this site is either quoted from other online sources (normally linked to the source) or it is my own analysis and thoughts. Either way I do not recommend that anyone will act upon my analysis.

If you want to trade / speculate in capital markets be sure to take the time and study.

Regarding IMF, BIS, any other official organization and its employees: I have respect for all of those as I do think that some kind of supervision on the system is required. If I ever insult anyone or anything, please forgive me, I bag your pardon. My intention in referring to official institutions is to educate or archive events that I see as remarkable.

If time allows I will keep this blog up to date with my occasional analysis and anything interesting for me and my readers that I might find elsewhere.

As for the price of gold, it might be the case that higher gold prices will be required to support the structure of the global monetary system and general capital markets. Timing however remains a mystery.


Good Luck.

XAGUSD Chart

The Silver wave count seems to be a bit head of gold as observed by comparing recent cycles lows. Overall gold and silver haven't done much lately but continue to be attractive at current prices with significant upside potential.



XAGUSD Daily Chart

Switzerland gold sell ?!

The sell if they will isn't as meaningful as the reporter wants you to believe. Consider that the outstanding notional amount of gold over the counter derivatives is 463 billion USD , reported by the BIS December 2006.

Switzerland's central bank is to sell a further 250 tonnes of gold, dashing hopes for a revival in depressed bullion prices after months of heavy selling by Spain and Belgium.

The Swiss National Bank is world's fourth biggest holder of gold after the European Central Bank system, the United States, and the IMF. Most analysts thought it had stopped selling its horde after a 1,300 tonne "purge" between 2000 and 2004,

The SNB said yesterday it would feed a fifth of its remaining gold onto the market gradually between now and September 2009 as part of a rejigging strategy for its reserves.

source


COMEX gold contract for December 2009 is currently priced at about 750$